Archive - J. Mark Whaley

Everyone's Hedging: What the Pre-Election Polling Coverage Won't Commit To

The pre-election coverage is built so no one can be wrong. Here's the standard intelligence analysts are held to, and my own call on the Senate.

Oct 31 • J. Mark Whaley

Mainers Vote Against Trump but Bet on Collins

A new Marist poll shows an unpopular Democrat leading, a senator voters expect to win, and a turnout model that may decide which is right.

Oct 27 • J. Mark Whaley

South Carolina’s First Day of Early Voting: Turnout More Than Doubles 2022

Blue counties lead among those reported so far

Oct 20 • J. Mark Whaley

The 3-Point Problem in Nate Silver's 16 October Senate Midterms Forecast

Caveat qui praeductiones examinat. Let him who examines predictions beware.

Oct 17 • J. Mark Whaley

Finding the Bottom Line in Nate Silver's 9 October Senate Polling Analysis

Sometimes analysts overly caveat their findings

Oct 12 • J. Mark Whaley

The Square and the Salon: What Comment Sections Reveal About the New York Times and the Washington Post

Curation vs Community

Oct 5 • J. Mark Whaley

September 2026

Trump Just Stopped Pretending He Needs the FCC

Banning CNN, MS NOW, and Politico outright is what happens after the indirect pressure works.

Sep 18 • J. Mark Whaley

The FCC Keeps Finding Reasons to Punish the Networks Trump Doesn't Like

Why Kimmel's Talarico interview ending up on YouTube isn't a one-off.

Sep 18 • J. Mark Whaley

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts